Predictive Planning Institute
Prices and inputs · FRED CPILFESL

Core CPI

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy in U.S. City

339.90
index · latest reading Oct 1, 2026
+0.3%
1 month
+0.9%
3 months
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy in U.S. City high 339.90 · Oct 1low 249.48 · Nov 1Nov 1Oct 1Oct 1
119 readings · Nov 1 to Oct 1 · index
What it is

The number, plainly.

The consumer price index with food and energy stripped out, the measure of inflation that is not about this month's gas price.

What a Scan reads here

Higher, lower, and what each means.

Core running hot means inflation is embedded in rents, services and wages; core cooling is what the Fed waits for before it cuts.

A reading is not a verdict. The Scan phase of Woodring’s Loop collects the signal; the Story phase asks what futures it is consistent with, and only the Stake phase turns that into a decision. This page does the first part.

What it tests

The line in your 2027 plan.

Tests: whether the rate-cut timing the plan leans on is actually earned by the inflation data.

Write the assumption down, name the reading that would break it, and put a date on when it has to be argued again. That is the 18-Month Sunset applied to one line of a budget. The Last Annual Planshows what this season’s moves have already done to the common ones.

Reading history

The last 36 readings.

Most recent first. Every value is as published by FRED at the time of the last refresh; FRED revises some series after the fact.

DateValueChange
Oct 1, 2026339.90+0.3%
Sep 1, 2026338.90+0.3%
Aug 1, 2026337.77+0.3%
Jul 1, 2026336.79+0.2%
Jun 1, 2026336.07Unchanged
May 1, 2026336.12+0.2%
Apr 1, 2026335.42+0.4%
Mar 1, 2026334.17+0.2%
Feb 1, 2026333.51+0.2%
Jan 1, 2026332.79+0.3%
Dec 1, 2025331.81+0.2%
Nov 1, 2025331.04+0.2%
Sep 1, 2025330.42+0.2%
Aug 1, 2025329.70+0.3%
Jul 1, 2025328.68+0.3%
Jun 1, 2025327.66+0.2%
May 1, 2025326.89+0.1%
Apr 1, 2025326.47+0.2%
Mar 1, 2025325.69+0.1%
Feb 1, 2025325.47+0.3%
Jan 1, 2025324.64+0.4%
Dec 1, 2024323.26+0.2%
Nov 1, 2024322.66+0.3%
Oct 1, 2024321.73+0.3%
Sep 1, 2024320.73+0.3%
Aug 1, 2024319.75+0.3%
Jul 1, 2024318.94+0.2%
Jun 1, 2024318.39+0.1%
May 1, 2024318.10+0.1%
Apr 1, 2024317.65+0.3%
Mar 1, 2024316.79+0.4%
Feb 1, 2024315.56+0.4%
Jan 1, 2024314.32+0.4%
Dec 1, 2023313.20+0.3%
Nov 1, 2023312.39+0.3%
Oct 1, 2023311.46—
Watch this signal

When Core CPI moves, know what it tests.

The monthly Signal Layer covers every series in the library: what moved, which planning assumptions it tests, and what a continuous-planning team does about it. One email a month. Unsubscribe in one click.

Source

Where the number comes from.

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy in U.S. City (CPILFESL), retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFESL. Refreshed daily; 119 readings on file from Nov 1, 2016 to Oct 1, 2026.

Cite this

Predictive Planning Institute, Signal Library: Core CPI (CPILFESL). predictiveplanning.com/signals/CPILFESL. Data via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Value 339.90 as of Oct 1, 2026.