Tools designed to be used.
Tools that make the discipline operable.
Signals → Typed Edges → Generated Scenario
The composition canvas exposes the math layer directly. Nodes are signals; edges are typed, weighted relationships. The artifacts below are the working forms of what happens on this surface.
The Predictive Planning Loop
The four-phase loop on a single sheet, designed to print at tabloid size and live on a wall. Use during Stake decisions to keep the team anchored to the discipline rather than the question of the moment.
Stake Sizing Matrix
The two-by-two for sizing strategic commitments by reversibility and conviction. Bundle includes the four-page working brief (with the blind-vote conviction protocol and worked example) plus an interactive scoring workbook your team can run live in a Stake meeting.
Convergence Review Template
A template for the standing Steer meeting. Pre-meeting prep, a 90-minute run-of-show, a scenario board that tracks each scenario as converging, holding, or collapsing, a stake-moves table, and a single-page convergence read to close the session.
90-Day Scan Installation Guide
Week-by-week installation plan for the Scan layer of the loop, scoped to a single operating unit. Phased across 90 days with checklists, cadence design and the AI/Human Split, and a fillable Day-30 Scan Brief.
The Maturity Read
A twenty-question diagnostic for an executive team to read its own predictive maturity. Scores your organization across Scan, Story, Stake, and Steer on a four-stage ladder — Absent to Compounding — with the next move at your stage. Five minutes, in the browser.
Signal Layer Source Taxonomy
A working catalog of signal sources organized by category — system data, paid feeds, public data, human signal, derived indicators — each with concrete example sources, cadence, and owner. Seeds the Scan inventory at Day 1 of an installation.