Vehicle Sales
Total Vehicle Sales
The number, plainly.
The annualized rate of light-vehicle sales in the U.S., monthly.
Higher, lower, and what each means.
A car is the biggest purchase most households make after a house, and it is financed. Sales fall when rates rise or confidence breaks, usually before other spending does.
A reading is not a verdict. The Scan phase of Woodring’s Loop collects the signal; the Story phase asks what futures it is consistent with, and only the Stake phase turns that into a decision. This page does the first part.
The line in your 2027 plan.
Tests: the big-ticket consumer assumption and the credit-availability assumption under it.
Write the assumption down, name the reading that would break it, and put a date on when it has to be argued again. That is the 18-Month Sunset applied to one line of a budget. The Last Annual Planshows what this season’s moves have already done to the common ones.
The last 36 readings.
Most recent first. Every value is as published by FRED at the time of the last refresh; FRED revises some series after the fact.
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | 16.00M | −2.5% |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 16.41M | −3.3% |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 16.98M | +2.3% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 16.60M | −3.6% |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 17.22M | +2.1% |
| May 1, 2026 | 16.87M | +2.0% |
| Apr 1, 2026 | 16.54M | +0.6% |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 16.45M | +3.2% |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 15.94M | +3.8% |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 15.36M | −6.4% |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 16.40M | +1.5% |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 16.15M | +0.8% |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 16.03M | −5.5% |
| Sep 1, 2025 | 16.96M | +1.3% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 16.75M | −0.6% |
| Jul 1, 2025 | 16.84M | +3.1% |
| Jun 1, 2025 | 16.33M | +1.1% |
| May 1, 2025 | 16.16M | −7.8% |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 17.52M | −3.7% |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 18.19M | +10.4% |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 16.47M | +0.9% |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 16.32M | −5.5% |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 17.28M | +1.5% |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 17.03M | +2.4% |
| Oct 1, 2024 | 16.63M | +2.0% |
| Sep 1, 2024 | 16.31M | +3.1% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | 15.81M | −2.3% |
| Jul 1, 2024 | 16.19M | +2.4% |
| Jun 1, 2024 | 15.81M | −3.8% |
| May 1, 2024 | 16.43M | +0.5% |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 16.35M | +1.8% |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 16.06M | −1.2% |
| Feb 1, 2024 | 16.26M | +2.5% |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 15.86M | −2.7% |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 16.31M | +2.8% |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 15.86M | — |
When Vehicle Sales moves, know what it tests.
The monthly Signal Layer covers every series in the library: what moved, which planning assumptions it tests, and what a continuous-planning team does about it. One email a month. Unsubscribe in one click.
Where the number comes from.
Total Vehicle Sales (TOTALSA), retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TOTALSA. Refreshed daily; 120 readings on file from Nov 1, 2016 to Oct 1, 2026.
Predictive Planning Institute, Signal Library: Vehicle Sales (TOTALSA). predictiveplanning.com/signals/TOTALSA. Data via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Value 16.00M as of Oct 1, 2026.