Real GDP
Real Gross Domestic Product
The number, plainly.
The inflation-adjusted size of the U.S. economy, in 2017 dollars, quarterly.
Higher, lower, and what each means.
The level is the scoreboard; the direction is what matters. It is the slowest series in this library and the one everything else is trying to anticipate.
A reading is not a verdict. The Scan phase of Woodring’s Loop collects the signal; the Story phase asks what futures it is consistent with, and only the Stake phase turns that into a decision. This page does the first part.
The line in your 2027 plan.
Tests: whether the market-size assumption in the plan still describes the economy you are selling into.
Write the assumption down, name the reading that would break it, and put a date on when it has to be argued again. That is the 18-Month Sunset applied to one line of a budget. The Last Annual Planshows what this season’s moves have already done to the common ones.
The last 36 readings.
Most recent first. Every value is as published by FRED at the time of the last refresh; FRED revises some series after the fact.
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | $24.61T | +0.8% |
| Apr 1, 2026 | $24.41T | +0.6% |
| Jan 1, 2026 | $24.27T | +0.6% |
| Oct 1, 2025 | $24.13T | +0.1% |
| Jul 1, 2025 | $24.11T | +1.0% |
| Apr 1, 2025 | $23.88T | +1.0% |
| Jan 1, 2025 | $23.65T | Unchanged |
| Oct 1, 2024 | $23.64T | +0.6% |
| Jul 1, 2024 | $23.50T | +0.8% |
| Apr 1, 2024 | $23.32T | +0.9% |
| Jan 1, 2024 | $23.12T | +0.4% |
| Oct 1, 2023 | $23.03T | +0.9% |
| Jul 1, 2023 | $22.83T | +1.1% |
| Apr 1, 2023 | $22.58T | +0.5% |
| Jan 1, 2023 | $22.46T | +0.8% |
| Oct 1, 2022 | $22.27T | +0.7% |
| Jul 1, 2022 | $22.12T | +0.7% |
| Apr 1, 2022 | $21.98T | +0.1% |
| Jan 1, 2022 | $21.95T | −0.3% |
| Oct 1, 2021 | $22.00T | +1.7% |
| Jul 1, 2021 | $21.64T | +0.8% |
| Apr 1, 2021 | $21.47T | +1.7% |
| Jan 1, 2021 | $21.11T | +1.5% |
| Oct 1, 2020 | $20.79T | +1.1% |
| Jul 1, 2020 | $20.56T | +7.8% |
| Apr 1, 2020 | $19.08T | −7.9% |
| Jan 1, 2020 | $20.71T | −1.3% |
| Oct 1, 2019 | $20.99T | +0.7% |
| Jul 1, 2019 | $20.84T | +1.2% |
| Apr 1, 2019 | $20.60T | +0.8% |
| Jan 1, 2019 | $20.43T | +0.6% |
| Oct 1, 2018 | $20.30T | +0.1% |
| Jul 1, 2018 | $20.28T | +0.6% |
| Apr 1, 2018 | $20.15T | +0.5% |
| Jan 1, 2018 | $20.04T | +0.8% |
| Oct 1, 2017 | $19.88T | — |
When Real GDP moves, know what it tests.
The monthly Signal Layer covers every series in the library: what moved, which planning assumptions it tests, and what a continuous-planning team does about it. One email a month. Unsubscribe in one click.
Where the number comes from.
Real Gross Domestic Product (GDPC1), retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPC1. Refreshed daily; 120 readings on file from Oct 1, 1996 to Jul 1, 2026.
Predictive Planning Institute, Signal Library: Real GDP (GDPC1). predictiveplanning.com/signals/GDPC1. Data via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Value $24.61T as of Jul 1, 2026.