Housing Starts
New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
The number, plainly.
The annualized number of new homes on which construction began in the month.
Higher, lower, and what each means.
Starts lead everything downstream of a new house: lumber, appliances, mortgages, furniture. Rising means builders see demand; falling means they do not.
A reading is not a verdict. The Scan phase of Woodring’s Loop collects the signal; the Story phase asks what futures it is consistent with, and only the Stake phase turns that into a decision. This page does the first part.
The line in your 2027 plan.
Tests: the volume line for anyone in the building supply chain and the demand line for everyone who sells to a new homeowner.
Write the assumption down, name the reading that would break it, and put a date on when it has to be argued again. That is the 18-Month Sunset applied to one line of a budget. The Last Annual Planshows what this season’s moves have already done to the common ones.
The last 36 readings.
Most recent first. Every value is as published by FRED at the time of the last refresh; FRED revises some series after the fact.
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | 1.22M | −5.2% |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1.29M | −5.9% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 1.37M | −4.9% |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 1.44M | +21.7% |
| May 1, 2026 | 1.18M | −16.4% |
| Apr 1, 2026 | 1.41M | −7.1% |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1.52M | +13.1% |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1.35M | −2.8% |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1.39M | +0.5% |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1.38M | +4.5% |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1.32M | +3.6% |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 1.27M | −3.5% |
| Sep 1, 2025 | 1.32M | +2.2% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 1.29M | −9.8% |
| Jul 1, 2025 | 1.43M | +3.8% |
| Jun 1, 2025 | 1.38M | +7.0% |
| May 1, 2025 | 1.29M | −7.9% |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1.40M | +4.0% |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1.35M | −9.7% |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1.49M | +10.2% |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 1.35M | −9.4% |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1.49M | +14.9% |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1.30M | −5.1% |
| Oct 1, 2024 | 1.37M | +1.0% |
| Sep 1, 2024 | 1.36M | −2.7% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | 1.39M | +9.9% |
| Jul 1, 2024 | 1.27M | −3.7% |
| Jun 1, 2024 | 1.32M | −0.8% |
| May 1, 2024 | 1.33M | −3.6% |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1.38M | +6.3% |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1.30M | −16.6% |
| Feb 1, 2024 | 1.56M | +12.8% |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 1.38M | −8.4% |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1.50M | −1.2% |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1.52M | +10.3% |
| Oct 1, 2023 | 1.38M | — |
When Housing Starts moves, know what it tests.
The monthly Signal Layer covers every series in the library: what moved, which planning assumptions it tests, and what a continuous-planning team does about it. One email a month. Unsubscribe in one click.
Where the number comes from.
New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units (HOUST), retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST. Refreshed daily; 120 readings on file from Oct 1, 2016 to Sep 1, 2026.
Predictive Planning Institute, Signal Library: Housing Starts (HOUST). predictiveplanning.com/signals/HOUST. Data via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Value 1.22M as of Sep 1, 2026.