Predictive Planning Institute
Rates · FRED DGS10

10-Year Treasury Yield

Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity

4.88%
% · latest reading Nov 9, 2026
−36 bp
1 month
+16 bp
3 months
Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturityhigh 5.31% · Oct 5low 4.38% · Jun 26May 26Aug 17Nov 9
116 readings · May 26 to Nov 9 · %
What it is

The number, plainly.

The yield on a ten-year U.S. Treasury note, the benchmark that mortgages, corporate bonds and discount rates hang off.

What a Scan reads here

Higher, lower, and what each means.

Higher means long-term money is dearer and future cash flows are worth less today; lower means the reverse.

A reading is not a verdict. The Scan phase of Woodring’s Loop collects the signal; the Story phase asks what futures it is consistent with, and only the Stake phase turns that into a decision. This page does the first part.

What it tests

The line in your 2027 plan.

Tests: the discount rate behind every valuation, capex hurdle and pension assumption in the plan.

Write the assumption down, name the reading that would break it, and put a date on when it has to be argued again. That is the 18-Month Sunset applied to one line of a budget. The Last Annual Planshows what this season’s moves have already done to the common ones.

Reading history

The last 36 readings.

Most recent first. Every value is as published by FRED at the time of the last refresh; FRED revises some series after the fact.

DateValueChange
Nov 9, 20264.88%+2 bp
Nov 6, 20264.86%+2 bp
Nov 5, 20264.84%−6 bp
Nov 4, 20264.90%−5 bp
Nov 3, 20264.95%+4 bp
Nov 2, 20264.91%−3 bp
Oct 30, 20264.94%−4 bp
Oct 29, 20264.98%−7 bp
Oct 28, 20265.05%+6 bp
Oct 27, 20264.99%−1 bp
Oct 26, 20265.00%Unchanged
Oct 23, 20265.00%+4 bp
Oct 22, 20264.96%−17 bp
Oct 21, 20265.13%+1 bp
Oct 20, 20265.12%−3 bp
Oct 19, 20265.15%+6 bp
Oct 16, 20265.09%−1 bp
Oct 15, 20265.10%−9 bp
Oct 14, 20265.19%−2 bp
Oct 13, 20265.21%−3 bp
Oct 9, 20265.24%+2 bp
Oct 8, 20265.22%−6 bp
Oct 7, 20265.28%+1 bp
Oct 6, 20265.27%−4 bp
Oct 5, 20265.31%+3 bp
Oct 2, 20265.28%+4 bp
Oct 1, 20265.24%−5 bp
Sep 30, 20265.29%+3 bp
Sep 29, 20265.26%+2 bp
Sep 28, 20265.24%+7 bp
Sep 25, 20265.17%−1 bp
Sep 24, 20265.18%+7 bp
Sep 23, 20265.11%+15 bp
Sep 22, 20264.96%Unchanged
Sep 21, 20264.96%−5 bp
Sep 18, 20265.01%—
Watch this signal

When 10-Year Treasury Yield moves, know what it tests.

The monthly Signal Layer covers every series in the library: what moved, which planning assumptions it tests, and what a continuous-planning team does about it. One email a month. Unsubscribe in one click.

Source

Where the number comes from.

Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity (DGS10), retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10. Refreshed daily; 116 readings on file from May 26, 2026 to Nov 9, 2026.

Cite this

Predictive Planning Institute, Signal Library: 10-Year Treasury Yield (DGS10). predictiveplanning.com/signals/DGS10. Data via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Value 4.88% as of Nov 9, 2026.